Wednesday, 30 April 2008
First, I have to vent about something that has bothered me for many years. I cannot tell you how many customers of mine have totally discounted or completely ignored the value of getting a good number on a game.
Why do I say this now? Because I had the UNDER in the Boston-Atlanta game tonight. Every offshore book listed at Vegas Insider had the lined total at 189 or higher, except at the sharpest offshore book available for US bettors to wager at, bookmaker.com. They had the total at 188.5. When somebody signs up fro a week or longer of picks from me I send out an email telling them how I grade my own plays. I use bookmaker.com to grade my plays when I send the plays out.
Bottom line, if you had bet the UNDER at 189.5 or better you would have won the play. If you had 188.5 or lower, you lost.
I've had countless clients say they need to get my plays on a certain day by phone. I have said I would have them ready by a certain time. They said that was okay, they would pick them up hours later. I stated the line might change, that never bothered them. But, I guarantee you, if they lose by a half-point when they could have won by a half-point, I am the one who is blamed.
Sorry, I despise customer apathy regarding getting the best number.
Back to the game. Carmelo playing Kobe closely 30 feet away from the basket with 5 fouls. You know Kobe is going to get the close calls in all probability. Anthony fouls Kobe. Maybe not a foul, but why take the risk? A very, very stupid play by Carmelo Anthony, one of the most overrated players in the NBA. There is more to being a great player than scoring. Maybe one day Anthony will wake up and realize that.