Sunday, 07 October 2007
In last years match-up between New Mexico State and Boise State, Aggie quarterback Chase Holbrook threw for a season-high 526 yards and two touchdown passes, but New Mexico State fell to then No. 18 Boise State, 40-28.
It was an unusual game in which NM State spotted the Broncos a 21-point lead in the first quarter. Despite the early deficit, the Aggies continued to fight and actually outscored Boise State 28-19 over the final three quarters of the game.
The big problem is the status of NMS QB Holbrook is unknown due to his sore ribs. He might play, he might not. It is a game-time decision. If Holbrook doesn’t play, his replacement is true freshman, JJ McDermott, who has thrown 11 passes this year for 17 yards with one INT.
Turnovers have been a big problem for pass-happy NM State this year. They are last in the WAC with a net of -10 this year.
Without Holbrook, hard to see NM State standing much of a chance. If Holbrook does start, how healthy will he be and how long will he last? New Mexico State is 4-15 ATS in conference road games. They also have one of the poorer pass defenses in the nation ranking 87th in pass defense efficiency to Boise State’s fine 21st ranking.
I have a lean to Boise State and laying the 24.5 points and have placed a small wager on Boise.
