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Jim Kruger's Blog 
Thursday, 13 September 2007
Watching the TCU-Air Force game, have a half-unit on the UNDER 42 & 43.  I had a bunch of stuff that said to take Air Force, but I also had some stuff that said go with TCU.  The macro version of my handicapping said TCU was in a great letdown situation after losing to Texas.  Handicappnig after the game is perfect, it's easy to say "I wanted to" or "I almost played...".  Sometimes, it is great to have the balls to ignore certain aspects of your methodology, but just as easily would it have put me on Air Force tonight, it put me on Virginia Tech last week, a terrible pick. 

What originally hurt was before it went into Overtime with 49 seconds left in regulation, TCU had just thrown an interception from the Air Force 21 yard line on first down with the score tied 17-17.  They were within an easy field goal, why go for six with less than a minute to go?  Well, the fact the TCU kicker, a 91% field goal kicker, clanged one off of the uprights in OT might be the answer.

We win our half-unit.  What an interesting game
POSTED BY: Jim Kruger AT 10:18 pm   |  Permalink   |  E-mail this
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